MSCI Singapore Index rebalancing impact on stocks

by - May 14, 2020

What happened?
MSCI announced the outcome of their semi-annual review for the MSCI Singapore Index. This will result in Mapletree Logistics Trust (MLT) being added to the index on May 29 while the following 4 stocks will be removed
  1. ComfortDelgro (CDG)
  2. SATS
  3. SPH
  4. Sembcorp Industries (SCI)

There was also a change in the MSCI Singapore small caps index as the following stocks were added
  1. AIMS APAC REIT
  2. Ascendas India Trust
  3. Cromwell European REIT
  4. Keppel Pacific Oak REIT
  5. Lendlease Global REIT

What is the MSCI Singapore?
It is another index just like the STI to track the performance of the broader (large and mid cap) market of the Singapore stock exchange. As of Apr20 it had 25 constituents and represents about 85% of the whole market's free-float adjusted market cap. Although the constituents are not fully readily available, readers may wish to compare the Top 10 snapshot provided by MSCI with my previous post on the expected change in the STI where I also posted a Top 10 constituents list. 
MSCI Singapore Top 10 Constituents (Source: MSCI Apr2020)

While the STI has ETFs traded on the SGX market, the MSCI index also has an iShares MSCI Singapore traded on the New York Stock Exchange. This provides it with greater access to liquidity as the US market is the deepest and most well-traded market in the world. 

Expected impact
As mentioned in the previous post about the STI, newly added stocks tend to trade higher in the lead up to the cut-in date (29 May) and slightly after the date as passive index funds that track the index would have to start adding the stock to their portfolios. The opposite holds for newly cut out stocks as funds sell off their positions. The impact is likely to be larger for MSCI Singapore compared to the MSCI Singapore small cap index due to the size of the passive index funds tracking them and the relatively smaller number of constituents in the MSCI Singapore. 

For investors who wish to capitalize on the rebalancing, MLT should be at the top of their shopping list. However, would be prudent to note that as passive funds flow in, this could drive valuations up more than necessary and lead to some profit-taking after the rebalancing is complete. Vice versa for the stocks that are removed, if the selling is overdone, there could be some value in CDG, SATS, SCI and SPH

Happy investing! 

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3 comments

  1. Hi,

    it says this was added on MSCI document:MSCI SINGAPORE INDEX
    Additions
    AIMS APAC REIT MGMT
    ASCENDAS INDIA TRUST
    COMFORTDELGRO
    CROMWELL EUROPEAN REIT
    KEPPEL PACIFIC OAK REIT
    LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMM
    SATSSEMBCORP INDUSTRIES
    SINGAPORE PRESS HLDG

    Deletions
    EAGLE HOSPITALITY TRUST
    MAPLETREE LOGISTICS

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yup that was for the MSCI small cap index
      https://app2.msci.com/eqb/gimi/smallcap/MSCI_May20_SCPublicList.pdf

      MLT got 'upgraded' to the MSCI Singapore while the 4 (SPH, SCI, CDG, SATS) got 'downgraded' to the MSCI Singapore Small Cap

      Delete
  2. https://www.msci.com/index-review

    ReplyDelete